Θετικά πρόσημα επικράτησαν σήμερα στα περισσότερα ευρωπαϊκά χρηματιστήρια, με τα μεγαλύτερα κέρδη να πραγματοποιούν οι μετοχές του κλάδου τεχνολογίας και τις μεγαλύτερες απώλειες αυτές του κλάδου πετρελαίου και αερίου.
Παρά το αρνητικό κλίμα που επικρατούσε στα περισσότερα ευρωπαϊκά χρηματιστήρια στο πρώτο μισό της συνεδρίασης, αρκετά από αυτά κατάφεραν στο δεύτερο μισό αυτής να διαγράψουν τις απώλειες τους και να κλείσουν τελικά με θετικό πρόσημο, παρά το κλίμα αβεβαιότητας που επικρατεί σχετικά με την μείωση των επιτοκίων από τις κεντρικές τράπεζες των ΗΠΑ και ευρωζώνης.
Τόνισα την ισχυρή ανοδική αντιστροφή του χρυσού από τη στήριξη στα 1.811 δολάρια ανά ουγγιά στο τεύχος 17 Οκτωβρίου του Institutional View. Αφού ξεπέρασε τα 1.940 δολάρια χωρίς να διαρραγεί κάτω από τα 1.900 δολάρια, η εργασία μου δημιούργησε ένα σήμα αγοράς για τον χρυσό. Όμως η έκτοτε δράση του μετάλλου ανάγκασε σε αναθεώρηση των προοπτικών του προς τα κάτω.(περισσότερα εδώ)
Στα κυριότερα μακροοικονομικά νέα:
Στην Γερμανία οι βιομηχανικές παραγγελίες για τον μήνα Νοέμβριο παρουσίασαν αύξηση 0,3% έναντι εκτιμήσεων των οικονομολόγων για αύξηση 1% και μείωσης 3,8% τον προηγούμενο μήνα (αναθεωρημένο από το -3,7%). Το εμπορικό ισοζύγιο επίσης για τον μήνα Νοέμβριο, διαμορφώθηκε σε πλεόνασμα 20,4 δισ. ευρώ έναντι εκτιμήσεων των οικονομολόγων για πλεόνασμα 17,9 δισ. ευρώ και πλεόνασμα 17,7 δισ. ευρώ τον προηγούμενο μήνα (αναθεωρημένο από τα 17,8 δισ. ευρώ).
Ο δείκτης Stoxx 600 έκλεισε στις 478,0 μονάδες με άνοδο 0,34%.
Στην Φρανκφούρτη ο δείκτης DAX έκλεισε στις 16.715,08 μονάδες με άνοδο 0,73%, με το σήμα να διατηρείται σε neutral, και με την αντίσταση να βρίσκεται στις 16.790 μονάδες και την στήριξη στις 16.476 μονάδες.
Μεγαλύτερη άνοδος
Μεγαλύτερη πτώση
Στο Λονδίνο ο δείκτης FTSE 100 έκλεισε στις 7.693,90 μονάδες με οριακά κέρδη 0,06%, παραμένοντας με σήμα strong buy, με την αντίσταση να βρίσκεται στις 7.872 μονάδες και την στήριξη στις 7.650 μονάδες.
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Στο Παρίσι ο δείκτης CAC 40 έκλεισε στις 7.446,02 μονάδες με άνοδο 0,34%, παραμένοντας με σήμα sell, με την αντίσταση να βρίσκεται στις 7.557 μονάδες και την στήριξη στις 7.336 μονάδες.
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Μεγαλύτερη πτώση
Recommendations
HSBC: Already positive, the research from Jefferies and its analyst Joseph Dickerson still consider the stock as a Buy opportunity. The target price is set at 980 versus 1000 GBX.
Εταιρικά νέα
Shell said its fourth-quarter earnings took a hit of between $2.5 billion and $4.5 billion in impairments that were offset by significantly higher gas trading, while its overall production volumes are on track to meet targets.
The London-based energy giant said Monday the impairments were primarily driven by macro developments as well as portfolio choices, including its Singapore chemicals and products assets, which it has been trying to sell.
The FTSE 100 leader by market cap also said it expects its cash flow from operations to take a hit from a $900 million charge related to timing of payments of emissions.
Shell expects to report integrated gas production between 880,000 and 920,000 oil-equivalent barrels a day for the fourth quarter, which would be in line with its guided range of 870,000-930,000 BOE a day, and compares with third-quarter production of 900,000 BOE a day. Fourth-quarter volumes of liquefied natural gas–LNG–are expected to be between 6.9 million and 7.3 million metric tons compared with 6.9 million tons in the preceding quarter. Shell previously expected 6.7 million-7.3 million tons.
Gains from integrated gas trading are expected to be significantly higher on-quarter, while the trading result from chemicals and crude oil refineries is seen to be significantly lower. The former segment is expected to make an adjusted earnings loss, the fossil-fuel company said. However, the expected uptick in fourth-quarter gas trading comes despite declining oil and gas prices throughout the period, with oil hitting a five-month low in early December, reflecting supply and demand concerns despite support from geopolitical uncertainty. Upstream production–the extraction of crude oil and natural gas–is expected to meet the guided range of 1.75 million-1.95 million BOE a day at 1.83 million-1.93 million a day. It reported 1.75 million BOE a day in the third quarter.
Argo Blockchain said it has raised 7.8 million pounds ($9.9 million) through a discounted shared placing, and that proceeds will be used for working capital purposes. The London-listed cryptocurrency miner on Monday said that it has issued 38 million news shares at a price per share of 20.5 pence to institutional investors. This represents a discount of around 24% to the latest closing price on Jan. 5 prior to the announcement. Proceeds will be used for the repayment of indebtedness, and for general corporate purposes, it added.
Huddled Group said that revenue for last year rose on the back of a better-than-expected performance of its recent acquisition Discount Dragon. The U.K. group with a focus on building a portfolio of e-commerce brands, previously named Let’s Explore Group, said Monday that 2023 revenue was 2.2 million pounds ($2.8 million) compared with GBP796,000 in 2022. The increase was mostly in the last quarter of the year, when the acquisition of Discount Dragon was completed and the Let’s Explore division entered its peak trading period, it said. The company said it ended the year with GBP4.2 million in net cash. Post-acquisition revenue of Discount Dragon, completed on Oct. 17, was GBP1.5 million, it said. “The recent acquisition of Discount Dragon has been an exciting addition to the group. The current consumer environment is delivering record trading in the discount sector, and we feel that being able to offer great products,” Chief Executive Martin Higginson said.
Plus500 said its earnings for 2023 beat expectations and that it is well positioned for the current year. The online-trading platform operator on Monday posted revenue of around $725 million for the year ended Dec. 31 and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of around $340 million. Consensus expectations based on five analysts’ estimates had revenue at $645.2 million and $299.8 million for Ebitda, according to the group. The London-listed company said it held around $900 million in cash at the end of the year.
Pandora said that full-year performance was ahead of guidance after a solid profitability in the fourth quarter following a robust performance across the key period of Black Friday and Christmas. The Danish jeweler on Sunday said that organic growth for 2023 reached 8%, ahead of its guidance range of 5% to 6%. Earnings before interest and taxes margin for 2023 landed at 25%, in line with the company’s guidance of around 25%, it added. The beat comes after the group reported a revenue increase for the fourth quarter of 10.8 billion Danish kroner ($1.58 billion) from DKK9.9 billion the same period a year ago. This brings full-year revenue to DKK28.1 billion from DKK26.5 billion Organic growth for the quarter was 12%, lifted by a broad-based increase in like-for-like sales of 9%. The company added that sales growth across main markets in Europe remains solid, at 5%, while it accelerated in the U.S. to 10%. “We are very pleased with our results across the peak trading season, and how we closed 2023. It’s clear that our brand resonates well with consumers and continues to gain strength,” Chief Executive Alexander Lacik said.
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